- Oil demand growth is set to slow in line with moderate global economic activity in 2026.
- OPEC+ has unwound substantial production restraint and along with supply increases from non-OPEC+ producers, supply will overwhelm demand in 2026.
- Global inventories are forecast to build at a faster pace than during the Covid-19 pandemic, helping the market to absorb exogenous shocks.
- Prices will decline for a fourth year in a row with Brent at an average of USD 60/b and WTI at USD 55/b.
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