15 December 2025
1 mins clock icon

Oil markets to extend slump in 2026

Oil outlook - 2026

By Edward Bell

  • Oil demand growth is set to slow in line with moderate global economic activity in 2026.
  • OPEC+ has unwound substantial production restraint and along with supply increases from non-OPEC+ producers, supply will overwhelm demand in 2026.
  • Global inventories are forecast to build at a faster pace than during the Covid-19 pandemic, helping the market to absorb exogenous shocks.
  • Prices will decline for a fourth year in a row with Brent at an average of USD 60/b and WTI at USD 55/b.

Click here to download full 2026 oil outlook report

Written By

Edward Bell Acting Group Head of Research and Chief Economist


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