Dubai: Positive private and public sector momentum will power growth in 2026

2026 outlook

We forecast Dubai’s economy to grow by 4.5% in 2026, in line with our estimate for 2025 and outpacing global averages.
Growth will be supported by strong momentum, rising tourism, easing regional tensions, and robust private and public sector activity.
Population and visitor numbers are increasing, driving demand for real estate and infrastructure.
Inflation is forecast to remain moderate, with government investment focused on transport infrastructure and city livability improvements.