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MENA Importers Forecasts

 

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Egypt* 2020 2021 2022e 2023f 2024f
Nominal GDP $bn 295.7 366.2 408.5 381.1 270.1
Real GDP % 5.5 3.6 3.3 6.6 4.4
Current A/C % GDP -3.7 -3.2 -5.0 -4.0 -3.2
Budget Balance % GDP -8.5 -7.9 -7.3 -7.0 -6.8
CPI % 9.4 5.1 5.2 13.5 14.5
Jordan 2020 2021 2022e 2023f 2024f
Nominal GDP $bn 44.5 43.7 46.5 49.3 52.1
Real GDP % 2.0 -1.6 2.2 2.6 2.8
Current A/C % GDP -1.7 -5.7 -8.5 -7.3 -4.7
Budget Balance % GDP -3.7 -7.7 -6.1 -6.5 -5.3
CPI % 0.3 0.3 1.4 3.2 2.5
Lebanon 2020 2021 2022e 2023f 2024f
Nominal GDP $bn 53.6 63.6 108.5 19.4 21.5
Real GDP % -7.2 -25.0 -9.8 -5.5 1.0
Current A/C % GDP -21.0 -4.7 -2.7 -13.7 -11.8
Budget Balance % GDP -10.9 -4.3 1.3 1.5 0.8
CPI % 10.1 84.3 151.0 183.8 90.0
Morocco 2020 2021 2022e 2023f 2024f
Nominal GDP $bn 128.9 121.4 142.9 135.8 142.6
Real GDP % 2.9 -7.2 7.9 1.0 2.4
Current A/C % GDP -3.4 -1.2 -2.3 -5.0 -4.0
Budget Balance % GDP -3.8 -7.1 -5.0 -5.5 -4.5
CPI % 0.3 0.7 1.4 6.5 4.0
Tunisia 2020 2021 2022e 2023f 2024f
Nominal GDP $bn 40.5 39.3 40.8 37.5 39.2
Real GDP % 1.0 -8.6 3.4 2.2 2.8
Current A/C % GDP -8.7 -6.5 -7.0 -11.8 -8.3
Budget Balance % GDP -3.6 -10.2 -8.6 -8.8 -9.2
CPI % 6.7 5.6 5.7 8.3 8.1
Oil Importers (GDP weighted avg) 2020 2021 2022e 2023f 2024f
Nominal GDP $bn 196.3 246.5 271.5 269.4 186.5
Real GDP % 3.1 -2.5 2.2 4.4 3.4
Current A/C % GDP -5.5 -3.3 -4.4 -5.2 -4.3
Budget Balance % GDP -6.9 -7.5 -5.6 -6.5 -5.9
CPI % 6.5 11.9 25.4 16.1 13.1

Source: Haver Analytics, National sources, Emirates NBD Research

* Egypt data refers to fiscal year (July-June)