Emirates NBD Research
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MENA Importers Forecasts
| Egypt* | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 366.5 | 410.2 | 372.1 | 203.7 | 175.2 |
| Real GDP % | 3.6 | 3.3 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.1 | -4.9 | -3.9 | -3.2 | -3.0 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.9 | -7.3 | -6.8 | -7.4 | -7.5 |
| CPI % | 5.1 | 5.2 | 13.8 | 28.5 | 14.0 |
| Jordan | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 43.7 | 45.2 | 49.3 | 52.1 | 54.9 |
| Real GDP % | -1.6 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -5.7 | -8.2 | -7.2 | -5.9 | -4.4 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.7 | -6.1 | -5.5 | -4.9 | -4.2 |
| CPI % | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| Lebanon | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 63.5 | 147.6 | 27.0 | 29.9 | 93.0 |
| Real GDP % | -25.9 | -7.0 | -4.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -4.4 | -2.3 | -12.0 | -11.4 | -9.6 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -4.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| CPI % | 84.3 | 151.0 | 183.8 | 200.0 | 60.0 |
| Morocco | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 121.4 | 142.9 | 134.2 | 144.2 | 158.8 |
| Real GDP % | -7.2 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 3.4 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -1.2 | -2.3 | -3.7 | -3.0 | -2.4 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.1 | -5.0 | -5.5 | -5.3 | -5.0 |
| CPI % | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 |
| Tunisia | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 42.7 | 46.9 | 43.3 | 44.4 | 47.2 |
| Real GDP % | -8.6 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -6.0 | -6.0 | -9.2 | -7.7 | -6.5 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -9.4 | -7.7 | -8.2 | -7.3 | -6.9 |
| CPI % | 5.6 | 5.7 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 5.5 |
| Oil Importers (GDP weighted avg) | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 245.9 | 270.8 | 258.1 | 143.1 | 131.9 |
| Real GDP % | -2.6 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.2 | -4.2 | -4.8 | -4.4 | -4.4 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.5 | -5.3 | -6.2 | -6.0 | -5.0 |
| CPI % | 11.9 | 31.5 | 18.4 | 27.9 | 16.9 |
Source: Haver Analytics, National sources, Emirates NBD Research
* Egypt data refers to fiscal year (July-June)