Emirates NBD Research
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MENA Importers Forecasts
| Egypt* | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 291.8 | 359.0 | 403.2 | 390.3 | 384.2 |
| Real GDP % | 5.6 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.7 | -3.2 | -5.0 | -4.0 | -3.6 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -8.6 | -8.0 | -7.4 | -7.9 | -7.1 |
| CPI % | 9.4 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 9.0 | 8.0 |
| Jordan | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 44.5 | 43.7 | 46.5 | 49.3 | 52.1 |
| Real GDP % | 2.0 | -1.6 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -1.7 | -5.7 | -8.6 | -6.4 | -5.6 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -3.7 | -7.7 | -6.1 | -6.4 | -4.4 |
| CPI % | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Lebanon | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 53.6 | 63.6 | 114.9 | 64.6 | 122.4 |
| Real GDP % | -7.2 | -25.0 | -0.7 | 2.9 | 6.6 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -21.3 | -3.5 | -5.3 | -10.6 | -7.2 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -10.9 | -3.2 | -3.1 | -2.2 | -1.4 |
| CPI % | 10.1 | 84.3 | 151.0 | 174.5 | 102.5 |
| Morocco | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 119.9 | 114.8 | 131.6 | 131.8 | 130.1 |
| Real GDP % | 2.6 | -6.3 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.7 | -1.5 | -3.3 | -3.8 | -3.4 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -4.0 | -7.5 | -6.5 | -5.9 | -5.4 |
| CPI % | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| Tunisia | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 40.1 | 36.2 | 37.3 | 31.0 | 27.5 |
| Real GDP % | 1.0 | -9.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -8.4 | -7.0 | -6.6 | -7.7 | -7.1 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -3.6 | -11.1 | -9.4 | -9.5 | -10.0 |
| CPI % | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 8.3 | 6.7 |
| Oil Importers (GDP weighted avg) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 192.7 | 241.9 | 268.1 | 265.8 | 255.4 |
| Real GDP % | 3.1 | -2.3 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -5.6 | -3.3 | -5.0 | -4.9 | -4.5 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.1 | -7.6 | -6.6 | -6.9 | -5.7 |
| CPI % | 6.5 | 12.1 | 27.1 | 23.8 | 23.0 |
Source: Haver Analytics, National sources, Emirates NBD Research
* Egypt data refers to fiscal year (July-June)