Emirates NBD Research
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MENA Importers Forecasts
| Egypt* | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 291.8 | 359.1 | 403.3 | 380.0 | 352.1 |
| Real GDP % | 5.6 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 4.1 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.7 | -3.2 | -5.0 | -3.9 | -3.6 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -8.6 | -8.0 | -7.4 | -7.1 | -6.9 |
| CPI % | 9.4 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 12.6 | 9.0 |
| Jordan | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 44.5 | 43.7 | 46.5 | 49.3 | 52.1 |
| Real GDP % | 2.0 | -1.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -1.7 | -5.7 | -8.6 | -7.3 | -6.4 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -3.7 | -7.7 | -6.1 | -6.7 | -5.3 |
| CPI % | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| Lebanon | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 53.6 | 63.6 | 108.5 | 193.0 | 21.6 |
| Real GDP % | -7.2 | -25.0 | -9.8 | -5.5 | 2.3 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -21.0 | -4.7 | -2.7 | -1.4 | -9.1 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -10.9 | -4.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| CPI % | 10.1 | 84.3 | 151.0 | 182.0 | 50.0 |
| Morocco | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 128.9 | 121.4 | 143.3 | 145.1 | 145.5 |
| Real GDP % | 2.9 | -7.2 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.4 | -1.2 | -2.3 | -4.8 | -4.7 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -3.8 | -7.1 | -5.0 | -6.1 | -5.6 |
| CPI % | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| Tunisia | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 40.5 | 39.3 | 40.8 | 38.3 | 36.8 |
| Real GDP % | 1.0 | -8.6 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -8.7 | -6.5 | -7.0 | -11.8 | -10.7 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -3.6 | -10.2 | -8.6 | -8.8 | -9.2 |
| CPI % | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 8.0 | 6.6 |
| Oil Importers (GDP weighted avg) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021f | 2022f | 2023f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 193.6 | 241.1 | 267.7 | 256.4 | 246.1 |
| Real GDP % | 3.1 | -2.5 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -5.5 | -3.3 | -4.4 | -4.1 | -4.7 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.0 | -7.6 | -5.6 | -4.9 | -6.3 |
| CPI % | 6.4 | 12.0 | 25.6 | 51.3 | 8.6 |
Source: Haver Analytics, National sources, Emirates NBD Research
* Egypt data refers to fiscal year (July-June)