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ECONOMICS

GLOBAL MACRO

Adjusted Taylor rule suggests limited further upside risk for the Fed Funds rate

Traditional Taylor rules suggest that the Fed Funds rate could be significantly higher, but once adjusted to reflect policy inertia there appears to be less upside risk

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 07.06.2023

Podcast: Where are interest rates headed?

The outlook for monetary policy is the focus of the latest episode of the Market Matters podcast.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 05.05.2023

Central banks hold the line on inflation

Rate-hiking cycle may be nearing end as bank stress leads to tighter credit conditions

MEDIA, ECONOMICS - 27.03.2023

Fed goes for a dovish hike

Inflation is still the priority but we are nearing the end of the hiking cycle.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 23.03.2023

TRENDING ARTICLES

Adjusted Taylor rule suggests limited further upside risk for the Fed Funds rate
07.06.2023

China: Reopening to support global growth
06.01.2023

Fed likely to indicate more rate rises at March meeting
13.03.2023

Central banks hold the line on inflation
27.03.2023

Podcast: Where are interest rates headed?
05.05.2023

Fed likely to indicate more rate rises at March meeting

SVB failure means a return to 50bp increments is less likely but still possible.

GLOBAL MACRO, MEDIA - 13.03.2023

US macro scorecard - January

A round-up of the most widely followed macro data points from the US, compared to expectations and the previous month results.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 28.02.2023

The economic impact of the Ukraine war is still evident one year on.

The tightening in financial conditions on the back of rate hikes, as well as increased energy costs, have weighed on global growth.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 26.02.2023

US macro scorecard - December

A roundup of the most widely followed macro data points from the US, compared to expectations and the previous month s results.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 31.01.2023

Monthly Insights - January

A round up of our publications and forecasts from January 2023

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 26.01.2023

MUST READ

The GCC and the energy transition
29.05.2023

Adjusted Taylor rule suggests limited further upside risk for the Fed Funds rate
07.06.2023

Additional oil production cuts will weigh on GDP growth in 2023
07.06.2023

Kuwait: Growth will slow in 2023
16.01.2023

Dubai PMI at five month high in March
11.04.2023

Are markets right to doubt the Fed?

Two 25bp rate cuts are currently priced in for H2 2023 but Fed officials are pushing back, saying that rates will need to stay higher for longer.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 25.01.2023

China: Reopening to support global growth

The easing of Covid 19 restrictions in China should provide a fillip to global growth through the second half of the year

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 06.01.2023

Global growth to slow in 2023 as central bank tightening bites

Fed remains focused on wage growth and tight labour market.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 20.12.2022

Monthly Insights - November

A round up of our recent publications and forecasts from November 2022

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 28.11.2022

US macro scorecard - October

A roundup of the most widely followed macro data points from the US, compared to expectations and the previous month results.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 28.11.2022

Central banks to remain focused on inflation

Even as the pace of tightening may slow, rates are set to rise further next month and into 2023.

ECONOMICS, MEDIA - 21.11.2022

Private consumption under sustained pressure

Global growth is slowing as household finances come under sustained pressure

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 18.11.2022

No pivot yet from the Fed

The Fed will keep hiking but likely at a slower pace at future meetings.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 03.11.2022

Fed may signal a slower pace of rate hikes this week

We expect a third 75bp hike at the FOMC meeting on Wednesday.

MEDIA, ECONOMICS - 01.11.2022

Podcast: How do we navigate the current market volatility?

Khatija Haque, Chief Economist, and Maurice Gravier, Chief Investment Officer, discuss the current challenging economic and policy backdrop, and its implications for investments.

PODCAST, GLOBAL MACRO - 06.10.2022

Monthly Insights - September 2022

A round-up of our recent publications and forecasts in September 2022

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 27.09.2022

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