Emirates NBD Research
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MENA Importers Forecasts
| Egypt* | 2018 | 2019 | 2020e | 2021f | 2022f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 241.5 | 291.8 | 359.0 | 393.1 | 430.4 |
| Real GDP % | 5.3 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -2.5 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -4.0 | -3.6 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -9.8 | -8.6 | -8.0 | -9.2 | -7.8 |
| CPI % | 14.4 | 9.4 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 6.0 |
| Jordan | 2018 | 2019 | 2020e | 2021f | 2022f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 42.9 | 44.5 | 43.7 | 46.5 | 49.3 |
| Real GDP % | 1.9 | 2.0 | -1.4 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -6.9 | -2.1 | -8.0 | -8.8 | -5.8 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -2.6 | -3.7 | -7.0 | -6.7 | -6.6 |
| CPI % | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Lebanon | 2018 | 2019 | 2020e | 2021f | 2022f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 53.1 | 54.1 | 42.5 | 46.5 | 50.4 |
| Real GDP % | -1.9 | -5.6 | -27.3 | -4.7 | 2.9 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -25.2 | -21.3 | -16.9 | -12.7 | -9.8 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -11.4 | -10.9 | -16.1 | -12.4 | -8.1 |
| CPI % | 6.1 | 10.1 | 84.3 | 55.0 | 22.5 |
| Morocco | 2018 | 2019 | 2020e | 2021f | 2022f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 118.1 | 119.9 | 114.8 | 130.7 | 136.3 |
| Real GDP % | 3.2 | 2.6 | -6.3 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -5.3 | -3.7 | -1.5 | -3.5 | -3.6 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -3.7 | -4.0 | -7.6 | -6.3 | -5.9 |
| CPI % | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Tunisia | 2018 | 2019 | 2020e | 2021f | 2022f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 39.9 | 40.1 | 36.5 | 38.4 | 37.1 |
| Real GDP % | 2.7 | 1.0 | -8.8 | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -11.2 | -8.5 | -7.3 | -8.5 | -7.4 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -4.8 | -3.6 | -11.0 | -8.0 | -6.6 |
| CPI % | 7.4 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.7 |
| Oil Importers (GDP weighted avg) | 2018 | 2019 | 2020e | 2021f | 2022f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 158.5 | 192.8 | 246.6 | 271.7 | 299.8 |
| Real GDP % | 3.5 | 3.2 | -1.6 | 3.0 | 4.7 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -6.7 | -5.6 | -4.5 | -5.1 | -4.2 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.5 | -7.1 | -7.9 | -8.1 | -7.1 |
| CPI % | 9.1 | 6.5 | 9.6 | 10.6 | 6.6 |
Source: Haver Analytics, National sources, Emirates NBD Research
* Egypt data refers to fiscal year (July-June)