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A round-up of our key research insights and forecasts this month.
ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 17.01.2021
We expect GCC growth to average 2.3 percent in 2021 following an estimated 5 percent contraction in 2020.
ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 13.01.2021
The data released this month supports our view of a 6.9 percent contraction in 2020, but there is reason for optimism.
ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 21.01.2021
We hold a fairly bullish view on Moroccan real GDP growth in 2021, projecting an expansion of 5.2 perce. If realised this would represent the strongest expansion amongst MENA oil importers this year.
ECONOMICS, MENA MACRO - 20.01.2021
OPEC has room to gain market share in 2021.
MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 19.01.2021
While the Tunisian economy will return to growth in 2021 there remain manifold challenges to the recovery, not least elevated Covid-19 cases, rising unemployment and social unrest.
ECONOMICS, MENA MACRO - 18.01.2021
The Dubai property market has showed an improvement in Q4 2020 data, compared to the previous quarter, however both sales and transactions remain lower than a year earlier.
ECONOMICS, SECTOR ECONOMICS - 18.01.2021
Despite lower-than-anticipated inflation in December we believe that the RBI will keep its benchmark interest rate on hold at 4.0% in February. Nevertheless, we still expect a 25bps cut later in 2021.
ECONOMICS, INDIA - 17.01.2021
Iraq implemented a difficult currency devaluation in December last year, but its finances will remain under pressure this year and growth will be weak
ECONOMICS, MENA MACRO - 12.01.2021
2021 has started the year on a positive footing as risk assets have gained momentum on the back of positive developments. Nevertheless, there remain caveats regarding the upside drivers.
ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 12.01.2021
The Dubai PMI rose to 51.0 in December 2020.
PMIS, ECONOMICS - 11.01.2021
Politics, coronavirus and growth all weigh against the dollar in 2021.
MARKETS, FX - 07.01.2021
