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E20.
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MARKETS

FX

Fed leans toward tightening

Tighter policy sets market up for some dollar strength in 2022.

MARKETS, FX - 23.09.2021

Soft jobs numbers a challenge for taper timeline

We still expect an announcement on an end to asset purchases by end of the year.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 05.09.2021

Asian economies at risk from slow vaccine rollouts

Risks to growth for the rest of the year are weighing on regional FX.

MARKETS, FX - 02.08.2021

Currencies at risk from spreading variants

Resurgence of mobility controls could stunt growth in Q3

MARKETS, FX - 30.06.2021

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Fed leans toward tightening
23.09.2021

Monthly Insights: June 2021

A round-up of our key research insights and forecasts in June

MONTHLY INSIGHTS, GLOBAL - 23.06.2021

Emerging markets running out of road

A combination of higher rates, elevated commodity prices and still recovering economies will weigh on FX and bonds.

MARKETS, FX - 17.06.2021

ECB meeting in focus

The Euro has managed a turn around thanks to better vaccination rates. The ECB will set the next trajectory.

MARKETS, FX - 03.06.2021

EM bonds get reprieve amid lower UST yields

But further rally will depend on vaccine roll-out and economic performance.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 21.04.2021

Euro benefits from better vaccine rollout

But growth will be compressed into H2 2021, raising more downside risks.

MARKETS, FX - 19.04.2021

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23.09.2021

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01.08.2021

Oil at 100: No.
02.03.2021

USD buoyed by stimulus and vaccination drive
17.03.2021

OPEC to stick to lower output levels
31.03.2021

USD buoyed by stimulus and vaccination drive

Growth differentials are widening considerably in favour of the US

MARKETS, FX - 17.03.2021

Emerging markets at risk of higher US yields

EM currencies have been resilient so far in face of rising UST yields

MARKETS, EMERGING MARKETS - 22.02.2021

Rally in risk to weigh on dollar

A sustained rally in risk markets could take the fizz out of the dollar in the near term.

MARKETS, FX - 08.02.2021

Dollar weakness remains entrenched

Politics, coronavirus and growth all weigh against the dollar in 2021.

MARKETS, FX - 07.01.2021

Joe Biden wins presidential election

Spending plans may fall short of market expectations.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 08.11.2020

Markets pricing in Democratic victory

Anticipation of a Democratic win in the US election is sending yields higher.

MARKETS, FX - 27.10.2020

Updates to our Treasury and FX views

The strategy shift from the Fed sets the scene for lower yields and a weaker dollar.

MARKETS, ECONOMICS - 31.08.2020

FX Week - 21 June 2020

The dollar was firmer last week as the equity markets hesitated, but the extent of its gains was small.

MARKETS, FX - 21.06.2020

FX Week - 14 June 2020

The USD recovered some its recent lost ground at the end of last week as risk appetite sputtered for the first time in a number of weeks.

MARKETS, FX - 14.06.2020

FX Week - 7 June 2020

Improving risk appetite saw the dollar lose ground comprehensively last week for the second week in a row.

MARKETS, FX - 07.06.2020

EGP yields to coronavirus pressures

The Egyptian pound has depreciated in earnest in the past two weeks, slipping to EGP 16.07 to the USD at the time of writing on June 4, having crossed its 100-day moving average the previous day.

ECONOMICS, FX - 04.06.2020

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