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  • Economics

    Emirates NBD Research provides detailed coverage of 16 GCC and MENA economies, analysing them from a top down macro and strategic perspective as well as by a bottom up sector by sector approach.

    • SUBTOPICS
    • GCC Macro
    • MENA Macro
    • Global Macro
    • Sector Economics
    • Monthly Insights

     

    Latest Article UAE: A mixed bag of data in January
    Latest Article Moroccan growth will outperform MENA oil importer peers in 2021
    Latest Article Tunisian economy facing manifold challenges

     

  • Markets

    Emirates NBD Research publishes reports on global forex, rates and commodities, as well as regional fixed income and equity markets.

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    • Monthly Insights

     

    Latest Article IEA lowers demand forecasts
    Latest Article Monthly Insights: January 2021
    Latest Article Gold prices stumble to start 2021

     

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  • PMIs

    Emirates NBD sponsors Purchasing Managers’ Indices for the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Dubai. The indices are compiled by IHS Markit, the leading global provider of financial market data.

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    • UAE PMI
    • Saudi Arabia PMI
    • Egypt PMI
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    • Methodology

     

    Latest Article Dubai PMI moves back into expansion territory in December
    Latest Article Regional PMIs- Saudi PMI rises to year high in December
    Latest Article Regional PMI round-up: A mixed bag in November

     

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MONTHLY INSIGHTS

ECONOMICS

UAE: A mixed bag of data in January

The data released this month supports our view of a 6.9 percent contraction in 2020, but there is reason for optimism.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 21.01.2021

Moroccan growth will outperform MENA oil importer peers in 2021

We hold a fairly bullish view on Moroccan real GDP growth in 2021, projecting an expansion of 5.2 perce. If realised this would represent the strongest expansion amongst MENA oil importers this year.

ECONOMICS, MENA MACRO - 20.01.2021

Tunisian economy facing manifold challenges

While the Tunisian economy will return to growth in 2021 there remain manifold challenges to the recovery, not least elevated Covid-19 cases, rising unemployment and social unrest.

ECONOMICS, MENA MACRO - 18.01.2021

Dubai Property: Transaction volumes recover

The Dubai property market has showed an improvement in Q4 2020 data, compared to the previous quarter, however both sales and transactions remain lower than a year earlier.

ECONOMICS, SECTOR ECONOMICS - 18.01.2021

TRENDING ARTICLES

Regional growth to be driven by improving global backdrop
13.01.2021

Monthly Insights: January 2021
17.01.2021

Green bond market has room to expand in MENA
21.10.2020

Regional PMI round-up: A mixed bag in November
08.12.2020

Caveats remain to new year optimism
12.01.2021

Monthly Insights: January 2021

A round-up of our key research insights and forecasts this month.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 17.01.2021

RBI will remain on hold in February

Despite lower-than-anticipated inflation in December we believe that the RBI will keep its benchmark interest rate on hold at 4.0% in February. Nevertheless, we still expect a 25bps cut later in 2021.

ECONOMICS, INDIA - 17.01.2021

Regional growth to be driven by improving global backdrop

We expect GCC growth to average 2.3 percent in 2021 following an estimated 5 percent contraction in 2020.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 13.01.2021

Iraqi finances will remain under pressure

Iraq implemented a difficult currency devaluation in December last year, but its finances will remain under pressure this year and growth will be weak

ECONOMICS, MENA MACRO - 12.01.2021

Caveats remain to new year optimism

2021 has started the year on a positive footing as risk assets have gained momentum on the back of positive developments. Nevertheless, there remain caveats regarding the upside drivers.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 12.01.2021

MUST READ

Monthly Insights: January 2021
17.01.2021

Monthly Insights - November 2020
25.11.2020

Monthly Insights - September 2020
23.09.2020

Monthly Insights - October 2020
15.10.2020

Monthly Insights June 2020
17.06.2020

Dubai PMI moves back into expansion territory in December

The Dubai PMI rose to 51.0 in December 2020.

PMIS, ECONOMICS - 11.01.2021

Economic Calendar - 11 January 2021

Economic calendar for the week ahead

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 10.01.2021

Dubai Tourism: Green shoots

An update on the latest visitor numbers and hotel occupancy figures for Dubai.

ECONOMICS, TOURISM - 05.01.2021

Brexit is not over yet

The UK and the EU have signed a post-Brexit trade deal, removing a major threat to their economies. However, there remain significant questions, not least regarding the outlook for services.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 04.01.2021

Dubai 2021 budget and GDP estimates

Dubai approves AED 57.1bn budget for 2021 and estimates growth at 4 percent.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 27.12.2020

Regional PMI round-up: A mixed bag in November

UAE PMI unchanged at 49.5 in November.

ECONOMICS, PMIS - 08.12.2020

Monthly Insights - November 2020

Our final Monthly Insights publication of 2020, looking at the latest developments and trends in global and regional economics and markets.

ECONOMICS, MONTHLY INSIGHTS - 25.11.2020

Dubai PMI slips to 49.9 in October

Business optimism at series low of 50.6.

PMIS, ECONOMICS - 09.11.2020

Joe Biden wins presidential election

Spending plans may fall short of market expectations.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 08.11.2020

PMIs: UAE reading disappoints

The UAE headline PMI slipped below the neutral 50 level in October, for the second time in three months, declining to 49.5 from 51.0 in September.

ECONOMICS, PMIS - 03.11.2020

Saudi budget deficit narrows in Q3 2020

An update on the latest budget and monetary statistics for Saudi Arabia.

ECONOMICS, SAUDI ARABIA - 01.11.2020

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