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OIL

Down and back again?

We expect oil prices will test lower before they move higher but that a sustained period at low levels is unlikely.

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 22.06.2017

Oil prices may bring regional sentiment back down to earth again

BoE Chief Economist Haldane added to the recent uncertainty about the outlook for UK interest rates

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 22.06.2017

The UAE's economy grew 3.0% in 2016

Real growth in the UAE in 2016 was exactly in line with our forecast at 3%, and slowed from 2015.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 19.06.2017

Economic implications of Qatar border closure for UAE and Dubai

Assuming that the standoff continues for some time we have looked at the potential impact on the UAE and on Dubai economies, focusing on a number of key channels.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 07.06.2017

TRENDING ARTICLES

Down and back again?
22.06.2017

The UAE's economy grew 3.0% in 2016
19.06.2017

Oil prices may bring regional sentiment back down to earth again
22.06.2017

Economic implications of Qatar border closure for UAE and Dubai
07.06.2017

OPEC extends deal for nine months
28.05.2017

OPEC extends deal for nine months

Scale of cuts is unlikely to lead to substantial draw in inventories

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 28.05.2017

All eyes will be on Vienna today where OPEC starts its formal meeting

Existing home sale in the US fell to 5.57 million vs expectations of 5.65 million and lower than 5.71 million in the previous month mainly as a result of lower availability of inventory.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 25.05.2017

OPEC's decision will set the tone for the rest of the year

The market could move into deficit by H2 2017 if OPEC maintains existing cuts but inventories are unlikely to narrow as much as needed

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 22.05.2017

Saudi budget deficit shrinks

Saudi Arabia's budget deficit shrank by more than 70% y-y in Q1 2017 to -SAR 26.2bn (-USD 7bn), as oil revenues more than doubled compared with Q1 2016.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 15.05.2017

Oil curve sends worrying signals

One of the main triumphs of OPEC's production cut, flipping the forward curve, looks to be in danger of unravelling

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 07.05.2017

MUST READ

Down and back again?
22.06.2017

The UAE's economy grew 3.0% in 2016
19.06.2017

Oil prices may bring regional sentiment back down to earth again
22.06.2017

Economic implications of Qatar border closure for UAE and Dubai
07.06.2017

OPEC extends deal for nine months
28.05.2017

OPEC's cuts, three months in

OPEC has managed to put a floor under the market but production cuts have yet to spark a rally

MARKETS, OIL - 25.04.2017

OPEC strongly complies with cut in March

Oil prices snapped their run of gains overnight thanks to a moderately bearish tone from the EIA's weekly data and upward revisions to OPEC's estimates of non-OPEC supply.

ECONOMICS, FX - 13.04.2017

Kuwait supports OPEC oil production cut extension

Kuwait stated its intention to support the extension of the OPEC oil production cut agreement that ends in June citing that it will accelerate the rebalancing of the global oil market.

ECONOMICS, OIL - 14.03.2017

Oil longs take a breather

New short positions came into the market which has so far barely budged in 2017.

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 07.03.2017

WTI longs hit another record level

Investors keep piling into long positions despite a lack of movement in prices

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 27.02.2017

Fed still uncertain about fiscal policy

The minutes of the last FOMC meeting left the door open for a rate hike in March, but this still seems unlikely given the uncertainty over US fiscal policy.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 23.02.2017

OPEC cuts yet to shift market

OPEC producers managed a high degree of compliance in the first month of their cut but risk setting a rod for the own back to try and keep output under control.

MARKETS, OIL - 14.02.2017

Opec achieces 90% compliance with cut

OPEC has managed to achieve compliance of 90% according to the latest assessment by the IEA.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 13.02.2017

Crude's vanishing volatility

Volatility in oil futures has dwindled in 2017, presenting an unbalanced picture of oil market fundamentals.

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 08.02.2017

Brent's burgeoning backwardation

Long-dated Brent futures have moved into backwardation but there are risks that the structure will dissipate

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 05.02.2017

Is MENA oil at risk from the BAT?

MENA oil producers could see market share battle restart if the US is able to export crude tax free.

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 01.02.2017

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