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Down and back again?

We expect oil prices will test lower before they move higher but that a sustained period at low levels is unlikely.

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 22.06.2017

Oil prices may bring regional sentiment back down to earth again

BoE Chief Economist Haldane added to the recent uncertainty about the outlook for UK interest rates

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 22.06.2017

H1 2017 sees the market focus turning to central bank policy decisions with the Fed continuing to raise interest rates this month

Political issues are also demanding greater attention but despite these concerns equity and fixed income markets remain resilient.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 21.06.2017

Third FED rate hike in 2017 remains likely

New York Fed President Bill Dudley speaking yesterday said that rate hikes haven't tightened financial conditions to significant degree

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 20.06.2017

Brexit talks due to begin amid uncertain UK politics

UK Prime Minister faces pressure from both sides of the Brexit debate

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 19.06.2017

Political upheaval in the UK over the weekend as the Conservative party lost its overall majority in parliament

British political turmoil was in contrast to signs of stability in France with Parliamentary elections looking like they will provide President Macron with a strong majority in the National Assembly.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 12.06.2017

Australia's Q1 GDP was better than expected at 1.7 percent year on year

In the US, the JOLTS survey showed that job vacancies in the US in April rose to the highest level since the survey began in December 2000.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 07.06.2017

RBA keeps rates on hold at 1.5%

The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept rates on hold at 1.5% as expected this morning. Market reaction to the statement was relatively muted; AUD firmed around 0.2% on the news.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 06.06.2017

US withdrawal from Paris agreement at odds with economics

Economics of natural gas and renewable power means a return to coal age in the US is unlikely

MARKETS, ECONOMICS - 05.06.2017

MUST READ

H1 2017 sees the market focus turning to central bank policy decisions with the Fed continuing to raise interest rates this month
21.06.2017

Down and back again?
22.06.2017

Oil prices may bring regional sentiment back down to earth again
22.06.2017

Third FED rate hike in 2017 remains likely
20.06.2017

Brexit talks due to begin amid uncertain UK politics
19.06.2017

Soft US jobs data unlikely to derail June hike

US employment data released on Friday was weaker than expected, casting doubt on the likelihood of a third rate hike this year taking place.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 05.06.2017

OPEC extends deal for nine months

Scale of cuts is unlikely to lead to substantial draw in inventories

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 28.05.2017

All eyes will be on Vienna today where OPEC starts its formal meeting

Existing home sale in the US fell to 5.57 million vs expectations of 5.65 million and lower than 5.71 million in the previous month mainly as a result of lower availability of inventory.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 25.05.2017

European data upbeat with Germany's IFO BCI rising

Economic data out of the US was mixed overnight, with disappointing new homes sales data partly offset by a stronger services PMI for May.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 24.05.2017

OPEC's decision will set the tone for the rest of the year

The market could move into deficit by H2 2017 if OPEC maintains existing cuts but inventories are unlikely to narrow as much as needed

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 22.05.2017

Risk appetite starts to wane

Risk appetite is beginning to wane as the stories swirling around the White House intensify, with reports overnight that the President interfered in an FBI investigation

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 17.05.2017

Daily Outlook

The NFIB small business optimism and JOLTS surveys provided further evidence of labour market tightness in the US.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 10.05.2017

Oil curve sends worrying signals

One of the main triumphs of OPEC's production cut, flipping the forward curve, looks to be in danger of unravelling

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 07.05.2017

Daily Outlook

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its latest FOMC meeting as had been widely expected by the market

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 04.05.2017

US data sags slightly

Soft performance in the manufacturing sector may set up April employment for a shallow figure

MARKETS, ECONOMICS - 02.05.2017

Daily Outlook

The Trump tax plan has been greeted with some surprise at the lack of detail beyond much of what was leaked during the week

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 27.04.2017

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